Potential prediction and storage area selection of CO2 geological storage in deep saline aquifers in Ningxia region
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摘要:
宁夏局部地区高碳排放源集中且碳排量巨大,亟需开展碳封存潜力评价等工作,以支撑未来碳捕集、利用与封存规划与重大示范。文章在宁夏地区碳封存基本地质条件的基础上,采用美国能源部(US-DOE)体积法,评估宁夏地区深部咸水层CO2封存预测地质潜力约867.421×108 t,预测技术容量约423.34×108 t,主力储层主要集中分布在宁夏东部盐池地区和六盘山盆地。综合封存潜力、盖层封闭性、地质体稳定性、社会环境风险等因素,开展了宁夏地区咸水层封存适宜性初步评价,结果表明:宁夏东部盐池地区储盖层条件良好、构造较稳定、人口密度低,是宁夏地区开展咸水层CO2封存的有利远景区。
Abstract:Due to the concentrated carbon emission sources and the enormous carbon emissions in the Ningxia Hui Autonomous, it is necessary to evaluate carbon sequestration potential to support future CCUS planning and major demonstrations. Based on the basic geological conditions for carbon sequestration in Ningxia, this study used the volumetric method of the US Department of Energy (US-DOE) to assess the geological potential for deep saline aquifer sequestration in Ningxia. The results show that the predicted geological potential of carbon sequestration in the deep saline aquifers in Ningxia is approximately 86.742 billion tons, with the predicted technical capacity of about 42.334 billion tons. The main reservoirs are concentrated in the Yanchi area in eastern Ningxia and the Liupan Mountain Basin. A preliminary evaluation of the suitability of saline aquifer sequestration in Ningxia was conducted by considering many factors such as the overall sequestration potential, cap rock integrity, geological stability, and socio-environmental risks. The results indicate that the Yanchi area in eastern Ningxia has favorable reservoir and cap rock conditions, stable structures, and low population density, making it a potential region for CO2 sequestration in Ningxia.
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Key words:
- Ningxia /
- deep saline aquifers /
- CO2 geological storage /
- predictive potential /
- promising region
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图 1 宁夏地区主要盆地及断裂分布图(据文献[19]略改)
Figure 1.
图 2 宁夏地区地震动峰值加速度区划图[30]
Figure 2.
表 1 CO2地质封存适宜性评价指标及权重
Table 1. Weight of evaluation index of suitability for CO2 geological storage
一级 二级 三级 关键因素否决条件 指标 权重 指标 权重 指标 权重 地质适宜性评价 0.7 储集条件与封存潜力 0.5 主力(最大)储层潜力占比 0.6 单位面积封存潜力 0.4 盖层封闭性 0.3 岩性 0.4 断裂发育情况 0.3 厚度 0.2 埋藏深度 0.1 地质体稳定性 0.2 地震动峰值加速度 1.0 地震动峰值加速度大于等于0.40 g区域和
活动断裂两侧5 km范围内为不适宜区社会环境风险 0.3 国土空间安全及环境风险 1 地质灾害易发性 0.1 人口密度 0.6 地形复杂程度 0.3 -
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