Temporal-spatial distribution and monitoring and early warning of sudden geological disasters in Beijing during the period of 2004 to 2018
-
摘要: 本文对北京市规划和自然资源委员会发布的《北京市环境公报》(2004—2018年)和北京市水务局发布的《北京市水资源公报》(2004—2018年)进行了全面梳理,详细分析了近15年来北京市突发地质灾害的类别构成和时空分布规律。北京市突发地质灾害有崩塌、滑坡、泥石流和地面塌陷4种类型,其中崩塌是北京市发生数量最多的地质灾害。北京市突发地质灾害规模较小,分布广泛。大部分灾害发生在汛期,表明北京市突发地质灾害与降雨密切相关。极端强降雨发生后,不同类型灾害集中暴发。近年来,北京市突发地质灾害专业监测预警工作积极开展,并取得一定的成绩,但是相关的科研、监测预警技术等地灾防治工作仍需提升。本文的相关结论来源于真实数据的统计分析,可为北京市突发地质灾害监测预警工作提供客观数据支撑。Abstract: In the paper,annual "Beijing geological environments Bulletin" and "Beijing Water Resources Bulletin" from 2004 to 2018a were comprehensive arranged,then the temporal-spatial distribution discipline and categories of sudden geological disaster in Beijing were analyzed according to all kinds record data. There were four categories in Beijing,such as,rockfall,landslide,debris flow, and ground collapse. Rockfall is the most frequent category of sudden geological disaster. Small harm degree and wide distribution are the common characteristic of them. The year in which the number of sudden geological disasters occurs in Beijing is also the year with large annual precipitation and most of the sudden geological disasters occur in the flood season, which indicates that the sudden geological disasters in Beijing are closely related to rainfall. After heavy rainfall,sudden geological disasters in different categories happened. In in recent years,monitoring and early warning of sudden geological disaster in Beijing are in progress,and some achievements have been made. But related scientific research,monitoring and early warning technology and other prevention and control work still need to be improved. The relevant conclusions from real data in the paper,can provide an abjective basis for monitoring and early warning of sudden geological disaster in Beijing.
-
Key words:
- sudden geological disaster /
- heavy rainfall /
- monitoring and early warning
-
-
[1] 北京市地质矿产勘查开发局, 北京市地质研究所. 北京地质灾害[M]. 北京:中国大地出版社, 2008.[Beijing Geology Prospecting & Developing Bureau,Beijing Institute of Geology. Disasters in Beijing[M]. Beijing:China Land Press, 2008.(in Chinese)]
[2] 赵忠海. 北京地区突发性地质灾害易发区划及危险度评价[J]. 资源调查与环境, 2009, 30(3):213-221.[ZHAO Z H. Regionalization of susceptibility and hazard assessment on unexpected geological disasters in Beijing[J]. Resources Survey & Environment, 2009, 30(3):213-221.(in Chinese)]
[3] 刘传正, 杨冰. 三峡库区地质灾害调查评价与监测预警新思维[J]. 工程地质学报, 2001, 9(2):121-126.[LIU C Z, YANG B. A new thought of surveying, evaluating, monitoring and forecasting for the geologic hazards in the three-gorges on Changjiang river[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2001, 9(2):121-126.(in Chinese)]
[4] 冯振, 李滨, 赵超英, 等. 三峡库区山区城镇重大地质灾害监测预警示范研究[J]. 地质力学学报, 2016, 22(3):685-694.[FENG Z, LI B, ZHAO C Y, et al. Geological hazards monitoring and application in mountainous town of Three Gorges reservoir[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2016, 22(3):685-694.(in Chinese)]
[5] 江鸿彬, 谭爱平, 夏春梅, 等. 突发地质灾害应急监测探讨[J]. 地质灾害与环境保护, 2012, 23(1):13-15.[JIANG H B, TAN A P, XIA C M, et al. On geo-hazard emergency monitoring[J]. Journal of Geological Hazards and Environment Preservation, 2012, 23(1):13-15.(in Chinese)]
[6] 薛凯喜, 胡艳香, 邹玉亮, 等. 近十年中国地质灾害时空发育规律分析[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2016, 27(3):90-97.[XUE K X, HU Y X, ZOU Y L, et al. Temporal-spatial distribution discipline of geological disaster in China in recent ten years[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2016, 27(3):90-97.(in Chinese)]
[7] 房浩, 李媛, 杨旭东, 等. 2010-2015年全国地质灾害发育分布特征分析[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2018, 29(5):1-6.[FANG H, LI Y, YANG X D, et al. Distribution characters of geo-hazards in China during the period of 2010-2015[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2018, 29(5):1-6.(in Chinese)]
[8] 宁奎斌, 李永红, 何倩, 等. 2000~2016年陕西省地质灾害时空分布规律及变化趋势[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2018, 29(1):93-101.[NING K B, LI Y H, HE Q, et al. The spatial and temporal distribution and trend of geological disaster in Shaanxi Province from 2000 to 2016[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2018, 29(1):93-101.(in Chinese)]
[9] 赵忠海, 李敏. 北京房山军红路边坡地质灾害特征及成因分析[J]. 城市地质, 2018, 13(4):32-36.[ZHAO Z H, LI M. Characteristics and cause analysis of the slope geologic disaster near the road from Junxiang to Hongmeichang in Fangshan district, Beijing[J]. Urban Geology, 2018, 13(4):32-36.(in Chinese)]
[10] 李海光, 邓文平, 余新晓. 北京地区1951~2011年降水特征分析[J]. 内蒙古水利, 2014(2):57-58.[LI H G, DENG W P, YU X X. Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics in 1951~2011 in Beijing[J]. Inner Mongolia Water Resources, 2014(2):57-58.(in Chinese)]
[11] 吴树仁, 周平根, 雷伟志, 等. 地质灾害防治领域重大科技问题讨论[J]. 地质力学学报, 2004, 10(1):1-6.[WU S R, ZHOU P G, LEI W Z, et al. Important scientific and technological problems in the field of geological hazard prevention and control——a discussion[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2004, 10(1):1-6.(in Chinese)]
[12] 杨顺, 潘华利, 王钧, 等. 泥石流监测预警研究现状综述[J]. 灾害学, 2014, 29(1):150-156.[YANG S, PAN H L, WANG J, et al. A review of the study on debris flow monitoring and early warning[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2014, 29(1):150-156.(in Chinese)]
[13] 李长江, 麻土华. 反思舟曲灾难事件:如何最大限度减少人员伤亡?[J]. 地质论评, 2011, 57(5):687-699.[LI C J, MA T H. Reflections on the catastrophic debris flow event in Zhouqu County:how to minimize casualties?[J]. Geological Review, 2011, 57(5):687-699.(in Chinese)]
[14] 白利平, 南赟, 孙佳丽. 北京市泥石流灾害临界雨量研究[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2007, 18(2):34-36.[BAI L P, NAN Y, SUN J L. Research on critical rainfall of debris flows in Beijing[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2007, 18(2):34-36.(in Chinese)]
[15] 白利平, 孙佳丽, 南赟. 北京地区泥石流灾害临界雨量阈值分析[J]. 地质通报, 2008, 27(5):674-680.[BAI L P, SUN J L, NAN Y. Analysis of the critical rainfall thresholds for mudflow in Beijing, China[J]. Geological Bulletin of China, 2008, 27(5):674-680.(in Chinese)]
[16] 赵忠海. 北京山区泥石流灾害预警方法研究[J]. 地质灾害与环境保护, 2014, 25(4):14-19.[ZHAO Z H. Early warning methods for debris-flow disasters in Beijing mountainous areas[J]. Journal of Geological Hazards and Environment Preservation, 2014, 25(4):14-19.(in Chinese)]
[17] 翟淑花, 冒建, 安立伟, 等. 不同雨型下泥石流松散物源体降雨入渗及衰减规律[J]. 人民长江, 2019, 50(7):22-27.[ZHAI S H, MAO J, AN L W, et al. Rainfall infiltration and attenuation regularity analysis of debris flow loose material under different rainfall pattern[J]. Yangtze River, 2019, 50(7):22-27.(in Chinese)]
[18] 翟淑花, 高谦, 张玲玲. 泥石流松散物源堆积体启动预警判据研究[J]. 人民长江, 2017, 48(增刊2):129-132.[ZHAI S H, GAO Q, ZHANG L L. Research on the critical soil-water content for loose material initiation of debris flow[J]. Yangtze River, 2017, 48(Sup2):129-132.(in Chinese)]
[19] 翟淑花,刘欢欢,王云涛,等. 综合监测技术在南窖沟泥石流协调预警中的应用[J]. 南水北调与水利科技,2018,16(1):46-50.[ZHAI S H,LIU H H,WANG Y T,et al. Application of comprehensive monitoring technique on collaborative early warning of Nanjiao debris-flow[J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology,2018,16(1):46-50.(in Chinese)]
[20] 韩建超. 北京地区崩塌监测预警初探——以琉辛路监测路段为例[J]. 城市地质, 2020, 15(2):148-153.[HAN J C. Preliminary study on collapse monitoring and early warning in Beijing area-taking the monitoring section of Liuxin road as an example[J]. Urban Geology, 2020, 15(2):148-153.(in Chinese)]
[21] BERTRAN P. The rock-avalanche of February 1995 at Claix (French Alps)[J]. Geomorphology, 2003, 54(3/4):339-346.
[22] 陈洪凯, 鲜学福, 唐红梅. 石质山区崩塌灾害形成机制——以四面山国家级风景名胜区红岩山为例[J]. 四川大学学报(工程科学版), 2010, 42(3):1-6.[CHEN H K, XIAN X F, TANG H M. Developing mechanism for collapse disaster in rocky mountain area-taking Mt.Hongyan in the national scenic spots of simianshan as an example[J]. Journal of Sichuan University (Engineering Science Edition), 2010, 42(3):1-6.(in Chinese)]
[23] 殷坤龙, 汪洋, 唐仲华. 降雨对滑坡的作用机理及动态模拟研究[J]. 地质科技情报, 2002, 21(1):75-78.[YIN K L, WANG Y, TANG Z H. Mechanism and dynamic simulation of landslide by precipitation[J]. Geological Science and Technology Information, 2002, 21(1):75-78.(in Chinese)]
[24] 殷坤龙. 滑坡灾害预测预报分类[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2003, 14(4):12-18.[YIN K L. Classification of landslide hazard prediction and warning[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2003, 14(4):12-18.(in Chinese)]
[25] 李文军, 杨让宏. 北京门头沟区戒台寺滑坡的变形机理与特点[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2006, 17(2):140-146.[LI W J, YANG R H. Deformation mechamism and characteristics of Jietai temple landslide, Beijing[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2006, 17(2):140-146.(in Chinese)]
[26] 秦四清, 王思敬. 煤柱-顶板系统协同作用的脆性失稳与非线性演化机制[J]. 工程地质学报, 2005, 13(4):437-446.[QIN S Q, WANG S J. Instability leading to rockbursts and nonlinear evolutionary mechanisms for coal-pillar-and-roof system[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2005, 13(4):437-446.(in Chinese)]
[27] 王金安, 尚新春, 刘红, 等. 采空区坚硬顶板破断机理与灾变塌陷研究[J]. 煤炭学报, 2008, 33(8):850-855.[WANG J N, SHANG X C, LIU H, et al. Study on fracture mechanism and catastrophic collapse of strong roof strata above the mined area[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2008, 33(8):850-855.(in Chinese)]
[28] 翟淑花,李良景,冒建,等. 京西小窑采空塌陷勘查与监测技术研究[J]. 徐州工程学院学报(自然科学版),2018,33(1):76-82.[ZHAI S H,LI L J,MAO J,et al. Technical research on detecting and monitoring of gob and subsidence of small colliery in the west of Beijing[J].Journal of Xuzhou Institute of Technology,2018,33(1):76-82.(in Chinese)]
[29] 邢宇鑫,吴大鹏,王亚婷,等. 北京典型煤矿采空塌陷监测技术研究与实践[J]. 城市地质,2019,14(4):54-60.[XING Y X,WU D P,WANG Y T,et al. Research and practice on monitoring technology of mined-out collapse in typical coal mines in Beijing[J]. Urban Geology,2019,14(4):54-60. (in Chinese)]
[30] 吴树仁. 突发地质灾害研究某些新进展[J]. 地质力学学报, 2006, 12(2):265-273.[WU S R. Some progress in the study of sudden geological hazards[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2006, 12(2):265-273.(in Chinese)]
[31] 刘艳辉, 刘传正, 温铭生, 等. 中国地质灾害气象预警模型研究[J]. 工程地质学报, 2015, 23(4):738-746.[LIU Y H, LIU C Z, WEN M S, et al. Study of early warning models for regional geo-hazardsin China[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2015, 23(4):738-746.(in Chinese)]
[32] 杜岩, 谢谟文, 蒋宇静, 等. 基于动力学监测指标的崩塌早期预警研究进展[J]. 工程科学学报, 2019, 41(4):427-435.[DU Y, XIE M W, JIANG Y J, et al. Research progress on dynamic monitoring index for early warning of rock collapse[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2019, 41(4):427-435.(in Chinese)]
[33] 许强. 对滑坡监测预警相关问题的认识与思考[J]. 工程地质学报, 2020, 28(2):360-374.[XU Q. Understanding the landslide monitoring and early warning:consideration to practical issues[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2020, 28(2):360-374.(in Chinese)]
[34] 蔡永顺, 何德强, 石峰, 等. 基于微震监测技术的地表塌陷监测预警研究[J]. 中国矿业, 2020, 29(增刊1):149-154.[CAI Y S, HE D Q, SHI F, et al. Study on monitoring and early warning of surface subsidence based on microseismic monitoring technology[J]. China Mining Magazine, 2020, 29(Sup1):149-154.(in Chinese)]
-
计量
- 文章访问数: 1404
- PDF下载数: 117
- 施引文献: 0