中国钼资源开发利用现状及未来需求预测

王修; 刘冲昊; 王安建; 刘婧; 贾祥英

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6532.2024.04.010

中国钼资源开发利用现状及未来需求预测

中国地质科学院矿产资源研究所，中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心，北京　100037

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金基础科学中心项目“数字经济时代的资源环境管理理论与应用”（72088101）；国家自然科学基金重大项目“新时代战略性关键矿产资源安全与管理”（71991480）及其课题5“新时代中国战略性关键矿产资源全球治理体系研究”（71991485）

详细信息

作者简介: 王修（1990- ），男，博士，主要从事矿产资源战略研究

通讯作者: 刘冲昊（1989- ）男，副研究员，博士，主要从事矿产资源战略研究

中图分类号: TD982;F407.1

收稿日期: 2023-09-25

刊出日期: 2024-08-25

Development and Utilization Status and the Future Demand Forecast of Molybdenum Resources in China

Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Research Center for Strategy of Global Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Science, Beijing 100037, China

More Information

Corresponding author: LIU Chonghao, Liuchonghao@cags.ac.cn

Received Date: 25 September 2023

Publish Date: 25 August 2024

摘要

摘要:
这是一篇矿业工程领域的论文。本文分析了我国钼资源开发利用现状并对未来需求进行了预测。钼是我国战略性矿产资源，在钢铁领域用途广泛，且在战略新兴产业及高新科技领域发展前景广阔。本文从我国钼资源储量、产量、消费量、进出口贸易、二次回收等方面对我国钼资源开发利用现状进行了分析，并采用部门预测法对我国钼资源未来需求进行了预测。得出结论：我国钼资源储量丰富，但资源优势在逐步减弱；我国钼资源消费结构有待优化，进出口贸易较为集中，二次回收相对落后；通过部门预测法预测我国2025年、2030年、2035年钼资源需求量分别为9.9万、8.3万、6.9万t。为此，提出建立钼资源储备制度，保障资源有序开发；加大科技攻关投入，拓宽钼产品国际市场；做好全球钼资源布局，保障我国未来所需的对策建议，为我国钼资源产业可持续发展提供参考借鉴。
- 矿业工程 /
- 钼资源 /
- 形势分析 /
- 需求预测 /
- 中国
Abstract:
This is an article in the field of mining engineering. This article analyzes the present situation of molybdenum resource exploitation and utilization in China, and predicts the future demand formolybdenum resource in China. Molybdenum is a strategic mineral resource in China, widely used in the field of the steel, and in the strategic emerging industries and high-tech fields of broad prospects for development. The present situation of molybdenum resource exploitation and utilization in China is analyzed from the aspects of molybdenum resource reserves, production, consumption, import and export trade, secondary recovery, etc., and the future demand of molybdenum resource in China is forecasted by department analysis method. The conclusion is that molybdenum resources are abundant in China, but the resource advantage is gradually weakening. The consumption structure of molybdenum resources needs to be optimized in China, the import and export trade is more concentrated, and the secondary recovery is relatively backward. The department forecast method predicts that China′s molybdenum resource demand in 2025, 2030 and 2035 will be 99 thousand t, 83 thousand t and 69 thousand t respectively. Therefore, molybdenum resource reserve system is proposed to ensure orderly development of resources. By increasing investment in scientific and technological research, the international market of molybdenum products will be expanded. A good job in the global molybdenum resource layout will be done to ensure the future of China′s countermeasures and suggestions, and provide reference for the sustainable development of molybdenum resource industry in China.
- Mining engineering /
- Molybdenum resources /
- Situation analysis /
- Demand forecasting /
- China

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图 1 2013—2022年全球钼产量趋势

Figure 1.

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图 2 我国钼消费量和粗钢产量变化趋势

Figure 2.

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图 3 中国粗钢产量与钼消费量相关关系

Figure 3.

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表 1 中国钼矿产类型及特征^[17-18]

Table 1. Types and characteristics of molybdenum minerals in China

类型	地质背景	含矿围岩	共伴生矿种	矿产实例
斑岩型	板块构造伸展分离	花岗斑岩小侵入体	铜	陕西金堆成、河南东沟、内蒙古曹四夭
矽卡岩型	花岗岩与碳酸盐岩接触带	花岗岩株侵入体	铜、钨、锡、铋	湖南柿竹园、河南南泥湖、河北小寺沟
热液脉型	地质体裂隙中	石英脉、伟晶岩脉	铜	浙江石坪川、广东白云岗、甘肃小柳树沟
沉积型	海相、陆相沉积作用	砂岩、黑色页岩	铜、铀、钒、镍	湖南大浒

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